NBN Revised: FTTP for the lucky

fibre
As expected, the NBN revised plan has been released, detailing exactly which suburbs will get FTTP access, and when. In essence, a quarter of Australian premises will get a robust network, and the rest of us take our chances.
Image: G Meyer
It had been widely tipped that the new plan would see a mix that prioritised FTTN connections, as per the Coalition government’s preferred technology solution, although the practical realities of getting contracts signed and trucks rolling means that only a blind optimist would still be putting any hope in the “All Australians will have 25Mbps” promise that the government went to election with. Then again, it’s not as though the rollout under the previous government was spotless either.
The new plan will, according to the NBN Co release, “bring fast broadband to 1.9 million homes and businesses by June 2016”, although as ITNews notes, it’s a radical cut back from the planned 4.8 million premises that were due to be connected under the previous plan, and includes a number of areas where construction work is already underway. Although it is fair to note that the previous plan was scaled back itself a number of times, and missed a number of deadlines as well.
The promise from here is that the NBN Plan will be updated each quarter “with further detail to reflect ongoing variations brought about by process and technology improvements”, but it’s quite pro-MTM (as you’d expect — NBN Co has to please its government masters no matter who’s in charge in Canberra), with a claim of 8 million connections by 2020. NBN Co’s plan calls for Fibre To The Basement connections to be available to ISPs by the first quarter of 2015, while Fibre To The Node connections should be available by the third quarter of next year. The current plan makes no assumptions about HFC or long term satellite services at all, so if you’re in an HFC area, you’re still off the plan, officially speaking. There’s also a significant quantity of hedging around actual delivered speeds, in line with the dropping of service guarantees that’s now part of the new NBN model.
It’s also worth noting that much of this plan rests on NBN Co being able to negotiate contracts with both Optus and Telstra in reasonably fast order. History would suggest that’s less than likely, especially as the MTM proposal puts significantly more bargaining power in the hands of the telcos than the previous (and finalised) NBN negotiations did. Both Telstra and Optus are businesses, and it’s in their best interests to maximise their profits over all other considerations — and the MTM NBN’s financial viability could rest on what they, particularly Telstra, decide is a “fair” deal for their services.
Here’s NBN Co’s exact rollout table for both FTTP and FTTN connections for your reading pleasure, although you can always just drop your address into NBN Co’s interactive map as well. Over at Lifehacker, Angus Kidman has put together an interactive map if you want to check exact rollout targets and technology types that’s well worth checking out.

Queensland

 

Region

Parts of suburbs and towns covered

Estimated total number of premises covered

Estimated total number of suburbs and towns

Central QLD

Agnes Water (surrounds), Biloela (surrounds), Calliope (surrounds), Gladstone (surrounds), Lammermoor (surrounds), Mount Morgan (surrounds), Frenchville, Moranbah, Parkhurst, Rockhampton

33,900

10

Far North QLD

Atherton, Babinda, Cairns, Innisfail, Mareeba, Ravenshoe (surrounds), Tully (surrounds), Cooktown, Edge Hill, Edmonton, Freshwater, Gordonvale, Mission Beach, Port Douglas

65,900

14

Greater Brisbane

Acacia Ridge, Aspley, Bundamba, Bribie Island, Caboolture, Dayboro, Greenbank, Ipswich, Jimboomba, Petrie, Logan Village, Samford, Nudgee, Ningi, Redland Bay, Rosewood, Warner

95,000

17

Northern QLD

Airlie Beach, Deeragun, Half Tide Beach, Haliday Bay, Ingham, Mackay, Proserpine, Alice River, Ayr, Bowen, Collinsville, Mirani, Sarina, Townsville

42,800

14

Southern QLD

Beaudesert, Boonah (surrounds), Kilcoy (surrounds), Maudsland, St George (surrounds), Dalby, Gatton, Kingsthorpe, Newtown, Oakey

40,800

10

Sunshine Coast

Beerwah (surrounds), Maleny (surrounds), Nambour, Pomona (surrounds), Maroochydore, Wurtulla

46,600

6

Wide Bay-Burnett

Blackbutt (surrounds), Bundaberg, Childers (surrounds), Howard (surrounds), Maryborough (surrounds), Monto (surrounds), Murgon (surrounds), Nanango (surrounds), North Gooburrum (surrounds), Gympie

54,000

10

Total

379,000

81

Tasmania

 

Northern Tasmania

Bridport, Beaconsfield, Bicheno, Burnie, Campbell Town, Devonport, East Devonport, Evandale, Exeter, Launceston, Legana, Longford, Penguin, Perth, Port Sorell, Queenstown, Railton, Rosebery, Scamander, Scottsdale (surrounds), South Launceston, St Marys, Ulverstone, Windermere, Westbury, Wynyard, Zeehan

55,000

27

Southern Tasmania

Bellerive, Cambridge, Cremorne, Cygnet, Dodges Ferry, Geeveston, Hobart, Huonville-Ranelagh, Margate, New Norfolk, Glenorchy, Orford, Pontville, Richmond, South Arm, Swansea, Taroona

51,000

17

Total

106,000

44

New South Wales

 

Greater Sydney

Appin, Avalon Beach, Berowra, Blacktown, Campsie, Campbelltown, Homebush, Kellyville, Katoomba, Liverpool, Mulgoa, Blackheath, Elderslie, Narellan, The Oaks, Penrith, Richmond, Rouse Hill, Tahmoor

148,500

19

Central Coast

Buff Point, Gosford, Gorokan, Long Jetty, Narara, Terrigal, Woy Woy, Wyong

107,700

8

Illawarra

Albion Park, Corrimal, Gerringong, Kiama (surrounds), Nowra-Bomaderry, Port Kembla, Shell Harbour, Wollongong

84,000

8

Newcastle and Hunter

Belmont, Boolaroo, Charlestown, Dungog (surrounds), Hamilton, Maitland, Mayfield, Morisset, Muswellbrook (surrounds), Nelson Bay, New Lambton, Singleton (surrounds)

160,000

12

South Coast

Batemans Bay (surrounds), Bawley Point (surrounds), Bega (surrounds), Bermagui (surrounds), Callala Bay, Merimbula (surrounds), Moruya (surrounds), Narooma (surrounds), Shoalhaven Heads (surrounds), St Georges Basin-Sanctuary Point, Sussex Inlet, Ulladulla (surrounds)

22,100

13

Central West

Bathurst (surrounds), Blayney (surrounds), Cowra, Dubbo, Gulgong, Molong, Mudgee, Oberon (surrounds), Orange, Parkes (surrounds), Wellington

46,300

11

Mid-North Coast

Bellingen (surrounds), Camden Haven, Harrington (surrounds), Kempsey (surrounds), South West Rocks, Wauchope (surrounds), Woolgoolga (surrounds)

8,800

7

Riverina

Corowa (surrounds), Deniliquin (surrounds), Finley (surrounds), Griffith (surrounds), Howlong (surrounds), Lavington (surrounds), Temora (surrounds), Tumut (surrounds), Wagga Wagga (surrounds)

3,500

9

New England

Quirindi

100

1

Northern Rivers

Alstonville (surrounds), Casino (surrounds), Grafton (surrounds), Hastings Point (surrounds), Kingscliff (surrounds), Kyogle (surrounds), Lismore (surrounds), Maclean (surrounds), Mullumbimby (surrounds), Terranora (surrounds), Tweed Heads

33,200

11

Southern Highlands

Cootamundra (surrounds), Goulburn,

Marulan (surrounds), Mittagong, Moss Vale, Queanbeyan, Yass, Young

42,500

8

Southern Tablelands

Bombala (surrounds), Braidwood (surrounds), Cooma (surrounds), Gundagai (surrounds), Jindabyne (surrounds)

2,300

5

Total

659,000

112

           

Northern Territory

 

Darwin Region

Berrimah, Palmerston, Nightcliff

 

12,000

3

East Arnhem Land

Nhulunbuy

1,000

1

Barkly Region

Tannent Creek

1,000

1

Katherine Region

Katherine

2,000

1

Central Australia

Alice Springs

9,000

1

Total

25,000

7

South Australia

Adelaide Hills

Lenswood, Macclesfield, Mt Barker, Stirling

21,000

4

Barossa Valley

Kapunda, Nuriootpa

5,900

2

Eyre Peninsula

Ceduna (surrounds), Port Lincoln (surrounds)

1,300

2

Far North

Port Augusta

5,900

1

Fleurieu Peninsula

Goolwa, Port Elliot and Victor Harbor, Strathalbyn (surrounds), Yankalilla

10,800

4

Greater Adelaide

Aldinga, St Marys, Gawler, Gepps Cross, Lonsdale, Modbury, Reynella

84,500

7

Limestone Coast

Bordertown (surrounds), Mount Gambier (surrounds), Penola (surrounds)

800

3

Murraylands and Riverland

Barmera, Berri, Loxton, Meningie, Mannum, Murray Bridge, Renmark, Tailem Bend, Waikerie

16,000

9

Yorke and Mid North

Balaklava, Burra, Crystal Brook, Clare, Jamestown, Port Broughton, Port Pirie, Peterborough, Riverton, Yorketown (surrounds)

15,000

10

Total:

161,000

42

Western Australia

Greater Perth

Applecross, Armadale, Cannington, South Coogee, Doubleview, Kelmscott, Meadow Springs, Quinns Rocks, Rockingham, South Perth, Victoria Park

132,300

11

Peel

Herron, Pinjarra (surrounds), Preston Beach, Waroona, Mandurah

25,700

5

South West

Augusta (surrounds), Bridgetown (surrounds), Brunswick Junction (surrounds), Busselton, Collie, Dunsborough, Margaret River (surrounds), Australind, Bunbury, Capel, Donnybrook, Harvey, Myalup

55,000

13

Great Southern

Albany (surrounds), Denmark (surrounds), Katanning (surrounds)

1,600

3

Wheatbelt

Jurien, Lancelin, Merredin (surrounds), Narrogin (surrounds), Northam (surrounds), Pingelly (surrounds), Toodyay (surrounds), Wongan Hills (surrounds), Cervantes, Woodridge Estate

8,700

10

Mid-West-Gascoyne

Dongara, Geraldton, Kalbarri, Leeman, Northampton

10,700

5

Pilbara

Karratha

6,000

1

Total:

240, 000

48

Victoria

 

Greater Melbourne

Ballan, Beaconsfield Upper, Craigieburn, Dromana, Footscray, Karingal, Keysborough, Kings Park, Kilmore, Melton, Mornington, Mount Eliza, Rye, Shoreham, Sunbury, Tooradin, Warburton, Werribee, Whittlesea

105,900

19

Barwon South West

Cobden (surrounds), Colac, Hamilton (surrounds), Mortlake (surrounds), Warrnambool, Apollo Bay-Marengo, Anglesea, Lorne, Ocean Grove-Barwon Heads, Portarlington ,Torquay, Winchelsea

62,000

12

Gippsland

Bairnsdale (surrounds), Foster (surrounds), Garfield, Heyfield, Lang Lang (surrounds), Moe-Yallourn (surrounds), Orbost (surrounds), Sale (surrounds), Traralgon, Warragul, Cowes, Inverloch, Mirboo North, Newhaven, Stratford, Wonthaggi

54,500

16

Grampians

Ballarat, Dimboola (surrounds), St Arnaud (surrounds), Warracknabeal (surrounds), Bannockburn, Clunes, Daylesford

8,000

7

Loddon Malle

Bendigo (surrounds), Cohuna (surrounds), Eaglehawk (surrounds), Echuca-Moama (surrounds), Kerang (surrounds), Kyabram (surrounds), Kyneton, Mildura (surrounds), Robinvale (surrounds), Rochester (surrounds), Wedderburn (surrounds), Castlemaine, Mount Macedon, Romsey

23,500

14

North East

Alexandra (surrounds), Chiltern (surrounds), Cobram (surrounds), Mansfield (surrounds), Myrtleford (surrounds), Nathalia (surrounds), Numurkah (surrounds), Wangaratta, Wodonga (surrounds), Yarrawonga-Mulwala (surrounds), Broadford, Shepparton, Wallan

32,100

13

Total

286,000

81

ACT

 

Canberra

Gungahlin

1,300

1

Civic

16,500

1

Kambah

16,100

1

Scullin

23,100

1

Total

57,000

4

National Total

1, 913, 000

419

Table: NBN Co
So what’s the take-home value? It’s much the same as it was when the MTM NBN plan was revealed. FTTP is still the end game point that — even NBN Co’s Simon Hackett admits as much — will drive the real value in the network. As such, if you’re in the FTTP footprint now, or the new plan indicates that you’re going to be, you’re one of the lucky ones.

Author: Alex

Alex Kidman is a multi-award winning Australian technology writer, former editor at Gizmodo, CNET, GameSpot, ZDNet, PC Mag, APC, Finder and as a contributor to the ABC, SMH, AFR, Courier Mail, GadgetGuy, PC & Tech Authority, Atomic and many more. He's been writing professionally since 1998, and his passions include technology, social issues, education, retro gaming and professional wrestling.

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